Weather Update for Montserrat – Danny Weakens

…DANNY WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE, FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED…

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN 48 HOURS. A STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
RESIDENTS SHOULD FULLY EXECUTE THEIR STORM PLANS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
DANNY IS MOVING FURTHER INTO A HOSTILE UPPER-LEVEL WIND ENVIRONMENT.
HENCE, THE WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE, RESULTING IN THE SYSTEM BEING DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BY SUNDAY WITH FURTHER WEAKENING BEFORE REACHING THE ISLAND LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING.
AT 11 AM ECT OR 1500 UTC, THE CENTRE OF WEAKENING HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST OR ABOUT 675 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONTSERRAT.
DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
DANNY REMAINS A VERY SMALL CYCLONE WITHHURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE CENTRE, AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB OR 29.06 INCHES.
ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, DANNY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER MONTSERRAT EARLY MONDAY AND OUT OF THE AREA BY MONDAY NIGHT.
DANNY COULD IMPACT THE ISLAND WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 60 MPH OR LESS, BUT PEAK GUSTS OF AROUND 80 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1-4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. MODERATE FLOODING COULD OCCUR AND A FLOOD WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR MONDAY.
LARGE BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE PASSAGE OF DANNY. SEAS WILL PEAK NEAR 3.7 METRES OF 12 FEET. MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE ANCHORAGE FOR THEIR VESSELS BY SUNDAY.
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE BULLETIN COMING OUT OF THE MET OFFICE FOR STORM SPECIFIC INFORMATION TAILORED FOR YOUR ISLAND.
REPEATING THE 11 AM ECT POSITION, 15.4 N, 52.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984MB.

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